Gold Price Forecasting Using ARIMA Model
نویسندگان
چکیده
This study gives an inside view of the application of ARIMA time series model to forecast the future Gold price in Indian browser based on past data from November 2003 to January 2014 to mitigate the risk in purchases of gold. Hence, to give guideline for the investor when to buy or sell the yellow metal. This financial instrument has gained a lot of momentum in recent past as Indian economy is curbed with factors like changing political scenario, global clues & high inflation etc, so researcher, investors and speculators are in search of different financial instrument to minimize their risk by portfolio diversification. Gold earlier was only purchased at the time of marriage or other rituals in India but now it has gained importance in the eyes of investors also, so it has become necessary to predict the price of Gold with suitable method.
منابع مشابه
Forecasting Gold Price Changes: Application of an Equipped Artificial Neural Network
The forecast of fluctuations and prices is the major concern in financial markets. Thus, developing an accurate and robust forecasting decision model is critically favorable to the investors. As gold has shown a special capability to smooth inflation fluctuations, governors use gold as a price controlling lever. Thus, more information about future gold price trends will help to make the firm de...
متن کاملTehran Stock Price Modeling and Forecasting Using Support Vector Regression (SVR) and Its Comparison with the Classic Model ARIMA
متن کامل
Modeling and Forecasting Effects of Crude Oil Price Changes on the US and UK GDP
       This paper proposes a new forecasting model for investigating relationship between the price of crude oil, as an important energy source and GDP of the US, as the largest oil consumer, and the UK, as the oil producer. GMDH neural network and MLFF neural network approaches, which are both non-linear models, are employed to forecast GDP responses to the oil price changes. The resul...
متن کاملElectricity price forecasting – ARIMA model approach
Electricity price forecasting is becoming more important in everyday business of power utilities. Good forecasting models can increase effectiveness of producers and buyers playing roles in electricity market. Price is also a very important element in investment planning process. This paper presents a forecasting technique to model day-ahead spot price using well known ARIMA model to analyze an...
متن کاملForecasting Stock Price using Hybrid Model based on Wavelet Transform in Tehran and New York Stock Market
Forecasting financial markets is an important issue in finance area and research studies. On one hand, the importance of prediction, and on the other hand, its complexity, have led to huge number of researches which have proposed many forecasting methods in this area. In this study, we propose a hybrid model including Wavelet Transform, ARMA-GARCH and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) for single-...
متن کامل